Editor’s note: This article was first published on August 6, 2024. It’s been reprinted and updated so that it could be moved here to DataForce’s blog.
I’ve seen it all.
As I can’t play in these leagues, but watching them up close and hearing from the contestants, I know what works and what doesn’t in Contender Leagues. Contenders remain the most popular fantasy football variant at DataForce Fantasy Football.
A Contender League combines four individual 12-team leagues into a 48-team contest. Four identical leagues are joined into a quad for the playoffs. You’ll play everyone in your 12-team league once; then week 12 is an all-play week; and finally, a week 13 playoff game within your own league determines the four teams that advance to the contender playoffs. At that point, you leave your individual 12-team league behind, and move on to a 16-team, 4-week elimination playoff bracket to crown the winner.
Naturally, you can win a lot more in a 48-team contender league than a normal 12-team league.
But the strategy isn’t the same. Here are some strategies to put you on solid ground as you prepare for your Contender League draft:
- First, note that there are five weeks of playoffs. Weeks 13-17. Week 13 is a qualifying round within your own league. Seeds 1 and 2 receive byes, and seeds 3, 4, 5 and 6 play each other. The two winners join the two byes, so that there are four teams in each league that advance to the contender playoffs.
- Next, understand that if you make it to week 15 in the playoffs, you’re in the money. Prizes are paid to the top 8 contestants, meaning anybody who makes it to the semifinals. From there, the prizes increase gradually up to the Super Bowl winner.
This means that, mathematically, week 14 is the most important week of all! You may not have to play in week 13 (two teams receive a bye), and prizes escalate slowly from week to week, and that means more money is riding on week 14 than any other week. Look at it this way: If you lose week 14, you’re toast. You get nothing.
So, if you’re going to plan ahead using strength-of-schedule in your draft, look primarily at the playoff weeks and especially hard at week fourteen!
- Beware those week 14 byes! As mentioned above, it’s a must-win week. Some notable week 14 bye players:
Christian McCaffrey, RB
TreVeyon Henderson, RB
Chuba Hubbard, RB
Malik Nabors, WR
Tetairoa McMillan, WR
Stephan Diggs, WR
George Kittle, TE
- On the other hand, week 12 is a “gimme” week by comparison. It’s an all-play week (because you’ve already played everyone else in the league in the first 11 weeks), so you score a “win” in week 12 just by scoring in the top half of the league that week. This is a good week for byes. The thought process is this:
Most of the teams are settled into the playoffs one way or the other. Losers have given up, and aren’t trying hard to win anymore. Winners may not realize how much there is still to play for if their playoff spot is already secured (see below). And if your team is good enough to go far in the playoffs, it’s good enough to win in week 12, even if you have a bye or two.
- Contenders are no trading leagues. Prepare for that draft! Know how low quarterbacks are falling, where tight ends are being drafted, when to grab your handcuffs. Don’t overspend on running backs, they’re scoring less than WR’s nowadays, but know what happens if you wait too long to get your running backs in a standard lineup. You can’t fix your problems after the draft, unless you get lucky in free agency. For this kind of draft analysis, glancing over color-coded draft boards of similar drafts is an invaluable exercise.
- Don’t give in to the temptation of shooting for the moon. I know the thought process: you have to get lucky to win a contest this big, so put all your eggs in the same basket. It doesn’t work that way. “Stacks” (like drafting Mahomes to Kelce) are for Daily Fantasy Sports. You have to win at least four playoff games in a row! You want a team that can grind out wins with regularity.
That doesn’t mean you shouldn’t invest in sleepers! That’s different! Increase your odds by selecting a few valuable handcuffs, and be on the lookout for rookies or coaching changes or anything that can add volatility, hoping for an additional legitimate starter or two. But don’t reach, the most important thing in a contender league is a solid, bone-crunching starting lineup that can go the distance.
- Playoff brackets are seeded on win/loss record. When you have 16 teams making the playoffs, you definitely want to be near the top of the charts, and get an easier schedule through the playoffs. Don’t slack off if it looks like you’ve secured a playoff spot. Win every game you possibly can for the first 13 weeks.
- You can play in each of the four leagues in your quad, so you can effectively have four teams entered into a single contest! That means you can hedge your bets a bit, trying different draft strategies. It also means you may wind up playing yourself in the final brackets during weeks 14-17, and should you decide to push a favorite team through, this is the one place in DataForce leagues where it’s actually legal to throw a game!
Now, go forth and conquer!
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Lee Harmon
Commissioner